Monday, June 23, 2014

DBSVickers Report 23 Jun 14

STI – 3270 failure points to risk of further decline to next
immediate support at 3220
QT Vascular - An emerging balloon catheter producer
STI has fallen below the important near-term support of 3270.
Technically, unless the STI is able to recover above 3283 soon,
last week’s fall ups the risk of a further decline to the next
immediate support at 3220.
The price of Brent crude rose to USD115pbl last week, the
highest in 11 months as the fighting in Northern Iraq
continued. Iraq’s oil production as a percentage of the world’s
total is 3.6% and out of this, about ¾ is in the south that has
been spared of the current unrests. While the current unrests
are unlikely will not have a significant impact on global oil
production, the concern is that the situation deteriorates, civil
war breaks out within the country and Middle East unity is
undermined. Over the weekend, gunmen seized more territory
along Iraq’s borders with Jordan and Syria. ISIL militants and
Sunni supporters now control territory in Iraq from Mosul in the
north to Rutba in the west.
Beyond Iraq’s country specific supply risk, on the demand side,
our chief economist believes that rising incomes means Asia’s
energy demand over the long term can only continue to soar.
China’s current per-capita energy consumption is only 1/8th of
US while that for India’s is just 1/12th. These developments
should underpin O&G stocks.
For Singapore, our analyst’s picks for the offshore O&G services
space are Ezion, POSH, Vard, Pacific Radiance and Nam
Cheong
China June preliminary HSBC Manufacturing PMI will be
released this morning. Consensus expects a reading of 49.7,
still in contraction territory but with a tat improvement over the
prior month’s 49.4. Singapore’s May CPI will be released this
afternoon. Consensus expects 2.6% y-o-y increase.
We issue a NON-RATED Equity Explorer report on QT Vascular
(QTVC), an emerging balloon catheter producer. Its flagship
product is the Chocolate PTA, a percutaneous transluminal
angioplasty (PTA) Balloon approved for the treatment of
Peripheral Artery Diseases (PAD). Its products are distributed
US Indices Last Close Pts Chg % Chg
Dow Jones  16,947.1 25.6 0.2
S&P  1,962.9 3.4 0.2
NASDAQ  4,368.0 8.7 0.2
Regional Indices
ST Index  3,258.8 (10.2) (0.3)
ST Small Cap  559.6 0.3 0.1
Hang Seng  23,194.1 26.3 0.1
HSCEI  10,395.5 41.4 0.4
HSCCI  4,326.8 (5.1) (0.1)
KLCI  1,885.7 4.2 0.2
SET  1,467.3 5.4 0.4
JCI  4,847.7 (16.6) (0.3)
PCOMP  6,731.0 31.6 0.5
KOSPI  1,968.1 (24.0) (1.2)
TWSE  9,273.8 (43.0) (0.5)
Nikkei  15,349.4 (11.7) (0.1)

STI Index Performance
Singapore
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
100-Day MA
Index
STI
Total Market cap (US$bn) 612
Total Daily Vol (m shrs) 2,151
12m ST Index High 3,305
12m ST Index Low 2,960
Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P.
Stock Picks – Large Cap
Rec’n Price (S$)
20 Jun
Target Price
(S$)
Global Logistic Properties Buy 2.680 3.42
Mapletree Greater China
Commercial Trust
Buy 0.870 1.02
Thai Beverage Public Buy 0.620 0.68
Stock Picks – Small Cap
Rec’n Price (S$)
20 Jun
Target Price
(S$)
Vard Holdings Buy 1.130 1.34
Nam Cheong Buy 0.385 0.47
Centurion Corporation Buy 0.725 0.86
Source: DBS Bank
Singapore
Wired Daily
Page 3
through Japan’s Century Medial, China’s Weihai Weigao
and Johnson & Johnson. Market penetration and
adoption of its balloon catheters will drive growth going
forward. QTVC is awaiting approvals for some of its
products in Japan and China. If approved for sale, these
products could positively impact its future earnings and
stock price. Factors that may cause the company’s
earnings to underperform include competition from stents
and other balloons, failure to attain product approvals,
poor take-up rates from commercialisation of products,
adverse clinical trial data on QTVC’s products, and loss of
distributorship.
Repi Soap and Detergent (Repi) and Wilmar International
have signed a joint investment agreement for the
upgrading of an existing manufacturing facility in Ethiopia
that will house an edible oil refinery and packing plant,
production plants for specialty fats, soft oils, soaps and
detergents, as well as a facility for sesame seed
processing. Repi and Wilmar will each have a 50%
participation in the joint investment.
Innopac Holdings is proposing a renounceable nonunderwritten
rights issue of up to 6,930.4m new shares at
an issue price of S$0.01 for each rights share and up to
3,465.2m free detachable warrants on the basis of two (2)
rights shares and one (1) free detachable warrant for every
one (1) issued share. Each warrant carries the right to
subscribe for one (1) new share at an exercise price of
S$0.012 for each warrant share. The rights issue price of
S$0.01 represents a discount of approximately 45% to the
last closing price. The net proceeds of approximately
S$68.9m will be used to fund the expansion and growth
of existing businesses, acquisitions and new investments;
and for general working capital purposes.
Sunningdale Tech is issuing 153.0m new shares at an
issue price of S$0.1633 per subscription share,
representing gross proceeds of approximately S$25m. The
investors are Yarwood Engineering & Trading and Mr.
Sam Goi Seng Hui. The issue price represents a discount of
approximately 10% to the last weighted average price.
The gross proceeds will be used as working capital to fund
the growth and expansion of the company’s business, and
to increase the company’s capacity for any acquisitions in
the future.
With more consumers letting their fingers do the
shopping, transport firms Singapore Airlines (SIA) and
SMRT Corp have launched e-commerce sites for their
customers. SIA announced a retail site for its KrisFlyer and
PPS Club members, enabling them to rack up air miles
when they use the KrisFlyer Spree website
(www.krisflyerspree.com) to shop at over 2,000 retailers
such as Bloomingdale's and Marks & Spencer. Meanwhile,
SMRT has launched I'm On Board, or iMOB, at
www.iMOB.sg, which offers a variety of lifestyle and
consumer products, along with special deals and
promotions.
RH Petrogas, which a month ago disclosed that an
investor had approached its controlling shareholders for a
potential takeover of the company, said that there have
been no further discussions or progress on the matter
since then.
MoneyMax Financial Services is investing RM15.63m to
hold a 51% stake in a network of Malaysian pawnshops
in its first overseas investment.
HLH Group plans to acquire 13,541sqm of freehold land
in Cambodia for US$14.9m. The land is situated in Phnom
Penh, Cambodia, in the heart of Phnom Penh City Centre.
The group plans to develop office tower, luxury
condominiums, and F&B and retail buildings on the land.
Ipco International is expected to report a loss before tax
for the full financial year ended 30 April 2014.
The loss is mainly attributable to:
1) Unrealised fair value loss on financial assets at fair value
through profit or loss; and
2) Allowance for impairment loss on available-for-sale
financial assets.
ISDN Holdings, an integrated engineering solutions
provider for diverse industries, hydropower business is
expected to benefit from a recent upward revision of
electricity tariff rates to be paid to mini-hydropower
developers by the Indonesian Government. In early May
this year, the Indonesian energy authority announced an
increase in the amount that it will pay electricity producers
with capacity of 10MW or less from the current base rate
of Rp 656 (USD 0.06) to Rp 1,075 (USD .09) per Kwh.
Yamada Green Resources is proposing to acquire19%
equity interest in Zhangzhou Meisei Foods Co. for
RMB36.4m. Meisei is principally engaged in the
manufacturing and supply of a wide variety of agricultural
processed food products including different types of
processed bamboo shoots, pickled vegetables and other
processed vegetables. Meisei is recognized as one of the
leading processed bamboo shoots suppliers in Fujian
Province.

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